Sports bets is often very profitable if you know the strategies the particular “smart money” bettors employ to consistently make cash. One of the biggest secrets that wise money gamblers use will be knowing when NOT to be able to bet.

Here’s a great illustration. My partner and i analyzed often the Western side Las vegas vs. Louisville sport, and concluded that West California had the edge in the video game. However , I actually also understood that there initially were a good deal of random and unforeseen factors, and recommended to a clients that they do not bet on this game. Here is our analysis I released ahead of the game:

West Virginia versus Louisville

This activity has all the symptoms of being one involving the most effective games involving the year, with both equally teams coming into the game 7-0. It’s #3 rated West Virginia vs. #5 ranked Louisville, each with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s sport was a classic, with Western Virginia coming backside from appearing down huge in the fourth quarter to winning throughout overtime, however,.

So what’s the game appearance like this year?

In the event this sport were turning into played from the basic field, West Las vegas will probably be a 4-6 point favorite. Since typically the game is Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if this makes sense…

West Virginia is definitely on an unprecedented rotate. They will haven’t lost due to the fact April. 1, 2005, planning 14-0 since they shed to Virginia Tech. In the last two periods they’re 13-5 ATS as well. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last being unfaithful video games overall, and 8-2 ATS in their very last 10 ROAD games.

These are some very outstanding stats that tilt often the scales in favor of WVU to get tonight’s gaming. Plus, often the extra added bonus is that WVU is usually GETTING +1 point. This might not seem like significantly, but in a shut match-up similar to this, that more point will make the distinction between a good push together with a loss.

But you may be wondering what regarding Louisville?

Louisville’s figures are usually almost as good since WVU’s -except when the idea comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In their past 10 games, Louisville is actually 4-6 ATS. That will said, Louisville is even now 7-3 ATS inside their final 10 home activities.

In addition to if you’re leaning in direction of WVU, here’s a terrifying stat… Louisville hasn’t lost in your own home since January 18, the year 2003! During this recent run Louisville is averaging 49. four points per game at home, while hitting only stopping 15. six points per game with home. In case a person don’t do the figures, that means due to the fact their particular last home damage they are yet to averaged beating their particular oppositions simply by about thirty four details per game.

In addition impressive, the average line in these games has only already been 21 points. That methods Louisville has beaten the divide, on average, simply by 13 things per game at home considering that 2003.

Wow… how can an individual go against that?

Here’s just how…

Almost all of those stats had been established during the 2006 season. This season, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to very good than great. They have already possessed recent games that has they are yet to only scored twenty-eight, twenty-three, 24 points. These types of activities weren’t against Iowa St. or Michigan. They will were against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St.

In essence of which this is still a good close match to phone. Nevertheless the things i look for is West Virginia’s defense to carry the day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St. can just about all hold Louisville under 40 points, then there’s not any purpose to think WVU can’t have one to the particular low to middle of the 20’s. My honest endorsement will be to lay off that game and not wager at all. There will be better activities this weekend with more simple strengths.

The final score of this game was Louisville forty-four, West Virginia 34. Lousiville won because West Florida had 6 fumbles together with allowed Lousiville to give back some sort of punt for some sort of TD. The results was that West Virginia’s fringe has not been so big that they could very well still win after producing so many mistakes. Simply by not betting on of match, people severe concerning wagering saved money they can offer better make use of on approaching games.

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